Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.200778 0.236654 0.276597 0.324294 0.379631 0.441737 0.516654
2024-12-22 0.143240 0.189328 0.246246 0.321401 0.417699 0.536584 0.694090
2024-12-29 0.113277 0.164116 0.232295 0.329727 0.464583 0.643716 0.898583
2025-01-05 0.090344 0.141555 0.215207 0.327694 0.493718 0.727979 1.081310
2025-01-12 0.072623 0.122010 0.197573 0.319921 0.510897 0.794807 1.245036
2025-01-19 0.059059 0.105757 0.181345 0.310366 0.522131 0.851933 1.398679
2025-01-26 0.051603 0.097834 0.176514 0.317232 0.558623 0.950159 1.624795
2025-02-02 0.045157 0.090334 0.170916 0.321443 0.590432 1.043369 1.851907
2025-02-09 0.039420 0.083001 0.164280 0.322479 0.616247 1.128516 2.073589
2025-02-16 0.035073 0.077498 0.160005 0.326876 0.648006 1.226401 2.326342
2025-02-23 0.032243 0.074513 0.159967 0.339021 0.695063 1.355569 2.646830
2025-03-02 0.027824 0.067365 0.150570 0.331380 0.703181 1.414037 2.843316
2025-03-09 0.024862 0.062982 0.146370 0.334052 0.732610 1.516903 3.136584
2025-03-16 0.021714 0.057593 0.139222 0.329554 0.746992 1.592409 3.385406
2025-03-23 0.019908 0.055073 0.137999 0.337675 0.788593 1.725828 3.761711
2025-03-30 0.017654 0.050998 0.132561 0.335492 0.807547 1.814781 4.056119
2025-04-06 0.015373 0.046389 0.125114 0.327519 0.812492 1.874640 4.295385
2025-04-13 0.013316 0.041969 0.117404 0.317745 0.811947 1.922334 4.512861
2025-04-20 0.012319 0.040347 0.116549 0.324762 0.851604 2.061956 4.943562
2025-04-27 0.011305 0.038472 0.114736 0.329066 0.885164 2.191005 5.362467
2025-05-04 0.010271 0.036324 0.111843 0.330125 0.910775 2.304172 5.755543
2025-05-11 0.009471 0.034753 0.110310 0.334620 0.945582 2.442100 6.218351
2025-05-18 0.009005 0.034184 0.111580 0.347035 1.002340 2.637712 6.834482